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Similar studies by Weintraub ( 1962) and Heer ( 1966) come to the same sorts of conclusions - acrass countries, income by itself may be associated with higher fertility but other variables, associated with higher incomes, are negatively related to fertility, particularly education or literacy. One cannot properly infer from observations across countries at a point of time what will happen in one country over time. 57 Nevertheless Background this is part of a broad spectrum of evidence that the more educated people are, other things being equal, the fewer children they will have.

This argument cannot be refuted, even ifit IS not very convincing. But there was a significant happening in 1876 which may plausibly have had a connection with the beginnings of the fall in fertility. In 1832 an American called Charles Knowlton published in America a book called The Fruits cif Philosophy - it was a calmly written guide to contraceptive practice at Background directed to young married couples and was first published in England in 1834. But the book got into trouble. In 1876 Annie Besant, who was perhaps the first prominent woman in England to propagate birth control, decided to re-publish it in conjunction with Charles Bradlaugh, both of them knowing what they were in for.

The wider the spread of such realisation and the more pervasive the parents' sense of obligation to have their children schooled, the greater the cost to the parents and the smaller the number of chHdren they will wish to have. But possibly more important still is the effect on potential parents of their own education. This is the hardest of all things to assess - the contribution of education to fertility decline not just by the alteration of parents' aspirations, but by the spread of rationality itself.

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